Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 10.777308 12.318645 14.012351 16.013220 18.314602 20.881344 23.964850
2025-11-23 8.468796 10.424409 12.743751 15.703394 19.388862 23.838913 29.638055
2025-11-30 7.530278 9.771978 12.579679 16.366940 21.361841 27.751586 36.589867
2025-12-07 6.712801 9.094861 12.214457 16.618759 22.709449 30.883017 42.764291
2025-12-14 5.989434 8.421246 11.730755 16.591172 23.594990 33.394218 48.271322
2025-12-21 5.369931 7.802766 11.228728 16.440411 24.232178 35.549819 53.418770
2025-12-28 5.064373 7.587713 11.256144 17.023500 25.949231 39.378967 61.382010
2026-01-04 4.756514 7.329931 11.182446 17.426119 27.403048 42.913410 69.216277
2026-01-11 4.528207 7.165217 11.223358 17.991689 29.139292 47.015648 78.341587
2026-01-18 4.109842 6.659760 10.682522 17.567799 29.222704 48.445681 83.151201
2026-01-25 3.770944 6.249960 10.254123 17.278462 29.483164 50.161283 88.576335
2026-02-01 3.480266 5.893060 9.878562 17.036210 29.786366 51.951411 94.273683
2026-02-08 3.213762 5.558355 9.518116 16.797202 30.089171 53.796178 100.320607
2026-02-15 2.958432 5.221279 9.124865 16.462568 30.184028 55.267582 105.810930
2026-02-22 2.890756 5.209173 9.296965 17.160035 32.230265 60.492420 119.026031
2026-03-01 2.763102 5.076878 9.240652 17.424613 33.476317 64.311100 129.847568
2026-03-08 2.605478 4.875753 9.040693 17.395627 34.144911 67.061380 138.765564
2026-03-15 2.444687 4.655513 8.786688 17.237220 34.536948 69.287385 146.801298
2026-03-22 2.392255 4.638895 8.917830 17.849900 36.538615 74.945458 162.762444
2026-03-29 2.319847 4.576955 8.954934 18.272978 38.181576 80.002525 177.933810
2026-04-05 2.270333 4.556428 9.071294 18.867326 40.236261 86.113949 196.127556
2026-04-12 2.114620 4.308097 8.709278 18.421863 40.000494 87.229466 202.891750
2026-04-19 1.985234 4.104708 8.424362 18.117815 40.047447 88.968675 211.301959